Back to Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
Welterweight

Johnny Cisneros vs Gabriel Miglioli

Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Johnny Cisneros
Gabriel Miglioli
82% 18%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnny Cisneros
Gabriel Miglioli
42
Sig strikes landed
39
107
Sig strikes attempted
100
57
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Johnny Cisneros

"The Tattooed Terror"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
36
Blue corner

Gabriel Miglioli

"Biel"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"