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Mizuto Hirota vs Teruto Ishihara

UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Mizuto Hirota
Teruto Ishihara
54% 46%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 10y
24
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hirota: 62 sig / 2 TD · Ishihara: 88 sig / 0 TD
Mizuto Hirota
Teruto Ishihara
44
Sig strikes landed
44
79
Sig strikes attempted
99
60
Total strikes landed
60
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Mizuto Hirota

"Pugnus"
18-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
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Blue corner

Teruto Ishihara

"Yashabo"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24