Main
Featherweight
Katsunori Kikuno vs Diego Brandao
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Katsunori Kikuno
Diego Brandao
62%
38%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
24-9-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
23-11
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kikuno: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Brandao: 14 sig / 0 TD
Katsunori Kikuno
Diego Brandao
17
Sig strikes landed
24
39
Sig strikes attempted
44
33
Total strikes landed
40
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
145s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Katsunori Kikuno
24-9-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
W1
Diego Brandao
"DB"
23-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—