Main
Bantamweight
Takeya Mizugaki vs George Roop
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Takeya Mizugaki
George Roop
77%
23%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
21-12-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-14-1
L2
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mizugaki: 70 sig / 0 TD ·
Roop: 47 sig / 0 TD
Takeya Mizugaki
George Roop
53
Sig strikes landed
40
115
Sig strikes attempted
101
77
Total strikes landed
56
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
240s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Takeya Mizugaki
21-12-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
Blue corner
L1
George Roop
15-14-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—