Main
Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Chico Camus
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyoji Horiguchi
Chico Camus
94%
6%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
25
Age
Δ 6y
31
36-6
Career record
Δ 18 pp
17-8
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Horiguchi: 78 sig / 0 TD ·
Camus: 63 sig / 0 TD
Kyoji Horiguchi
Chico Camus
47
Sig strikes landed
32
106
Sig strikes attempted
88
66
Total strikes landed
45
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
189s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
36-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Chico Camus
"The King"
17-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—