Main
Middleweight
Gegard Mousasi vs Uriah Hall
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gegard Mousasi
Uriah Hall
96%
4%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
43-6-2
Career record
Δ 21 pp
19-11
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Mousasi: 17 sig / 1 TD ·
Hall: 18 sig / 0 TD
Gegard Mousasi
Uriah Hall
37
Sig strikes landed
30
79
Sig strikes attempted
69
53
Total strikes landed
38
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
161s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Gegard Mousasi
43-6-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
W1
Uriah Hall
"Prime Time"
19-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—