Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Prelims1 Flyweight

Chris Kelades vs Chris Beal

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira ·SaskTel Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Chris Kelades
Chris Beal
47% 53%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
9-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kelades: 50 sig / 1 TD · Beal: 47 sig / 2 TD
Chris Kelades
Chris Beal
30
Sig strikes landed
33
59
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
65
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
4.1
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
161s
Control time
244s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Chris Kelades

"The Greek Assassin"
9-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
Blue corner
L1

Chris Beal

"Real Deal"
10-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—