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Shane Campbell vs Elias Silverio

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira ·SaskTel Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Shane Campbell
Elias Silverio
38% 62%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
14-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Campbell: 44 sig / 2 TD · Silverio: 22 sig / 2 TD
Shane Campbell
Elias Silverio
35
Sig strikes landed
47
85
Sig strikes attempted
96
45
Total strikes landed
71
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
207s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shane Campbell

"Shaolin"
14-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
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Blue corner
L1

Elias Silverio

"Xuxu"
13-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
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W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
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W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
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