Main
Women's Strawweight
Maryna Moroz vs Valerie Letourneau
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
·SaskTel Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Maryna Moroz
Valerie Letourneau
75%
25%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
24
Age
Δ 8y
32
12-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
9-6
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moroz: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Letourneau: 69 sig / 1 TD
Maryna Moroz
Valerie Letourneau
48
Sig strikes landed
36
138
Sig strikes attempted
111
59
Total strikes landed
44
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
127s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
12-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
Blue corner
W2
Valerie Letourneau
"Trouble"
9-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—