Prelims1
Lightweight
Sam Stout vs Frankie Perez
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
·SaskTel Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sam Stout
Frankie Perez
58%
42%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
20-13-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
10-5
L2
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Stout: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Perez: 12 sig / 0 TD
Sam Stout
Frankie Perez
49
Sig strikes landed
44
116
Sig strikes attempted
106
74
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sam Stout
"Hands of Stone"
20-13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
L1
Frankie Perez
10-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—