Main
Lightweight
Chad Laprise vs Francisco Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
·SaskTel Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Francisco Trinaldo
47%
53%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
29
Age
Δ 8y
37
14-4
Career record
Δ 1 pp
29-9
W3
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Laprise: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Trinaldo: 17 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Francisco Trinaldo
39
Sig strikes landed
35
101
Sig strikes attempted
97
58
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
14-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W3
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
29-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—