Main
Welterweight
Patrick Cote vs Joshua Burkman
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
·SaskTel Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Patrick Cote
Joshua Burkman
65%
35%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
36
Age
Δ 0y
35
24-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
28-17
W1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Cote: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Burkman: 45 sig / 1 TD
Patrick Cote
Joshua Burkman
34
Sig strikes landed
22
68
Sig strikes attempted
54
57
Total strikes landed
41
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
167s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
24-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
Blue corner
L1
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—