Main
Women's Bantamweight
Sara McMann vs Amanda Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sara McMann
Amanda Nunes
22%
78%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
13-7
Career record
Δ 18 pp
24-5
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McMann: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 27 sig / 0 TD
Sara McMann
Amanda Nunes
14
Sig strikes landed
28
33
Sig strikes attempted
53
40
Total strikes landed
58
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
216s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
52%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sara McMann
13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W1
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—