Main
Heavyweight
Jared Rosholt vs Timothy Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jared Rosholt
Timothy Johnson
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
15-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-4
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosholt: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Johnson: 26 sig / 3 TD
Jared Rosholt
Timothy Johnson
22
Sig strikes landed
22
46
Sig strikes attempted
54
40
Total strikes landed
39
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
218s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jared Rosholt
15-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
W1
Timothy Johnson
13-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—