Main
Lightweight
Michael Johnson vs Beneil Dariush
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Beneil Dariush
33%
67%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
26-20
Career record
Δ 16 pp
24-8-1
W4
Current streak
W4
12
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 75 sig / 0 TD
Michael Johnson
Beneil Dariush
34
Sig strikes landed
37
97
Sig strikes attempted
92
41
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
54s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
26-20
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
Blue corner
W4
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—