Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Ovince Saint Preux
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Ovince Saint Preux
83%
17%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
33-10
Career record
Δ 16 pp
28-18
L2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Teixeira: 53 sig / 5 TD ·
Saint Preux: 30 sig / 0 TD
Glover Teixeira
Ovince Saint Preux
29
Sig strikes landed
33
67
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
43
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
133s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Glover Teixeira
33-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
Blue corner
W2
Ovince Saint Preux
28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—