Prelims2
Bantamweight
Marcus Brimage vs Jimmie Rivera
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
·The SSE Hydro
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marcus Brimage
Jimmie Rivera
14%
86%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brimage: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Rivera: 15 sig / 0 TD
Marcus Brimage
Jimmie Rivera
35
Sig strikes landed
47
95
Sig strikes attempted
108
41
Total strikes landed
63
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
24s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marcus Brimage
"The Bama Beast"
7-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26