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Robert Whiteford vs Paul Redmond

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites ·The SSE Hydro
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Robert Whiteford
Paul Redmond
70% 30%
Why
32
Age
Δ 4y
29
15-4
Career record
Δ 19 pp
12-8
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Whiteford: 20 sig / 0 TD · Redmond: 11 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whiteford
Paul Redmond
32
Sig strikes landed
17
58
Sig strikes attempted
45
56
Total strikes landed
39
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
259s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Robert Whiteford

"The Hammer"
15-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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Blue corner
L1

Paul Redmond

"Redser"
12-8
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
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