Prelims2
Heavyweight
Daniel Omielanczuk vs Chris de la Rocha
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
·The SSE Hydro
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Omielanczuk
Chris de la Rocha
76%
24%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
80"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
L2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Omielanczuk: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
de la Rocha: 1 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Omielanczuk
Chris de la Rocha
34
Sig strikes landed
34
53
Sig strikes attempted
65
44
Total strikes landed
42
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Daniel Omielanczuk
19-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
Chris de la Rocha
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36