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Main Women's Strawweight

Joanne Wood vs Cortney Casey

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites ·The SSE Hydro
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Cortney Casey
75% 25%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
30
Age
Δ 1y
28
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wood: 90 sig / 3 TD · Casey: 57 sig / 0 TD
Joanne Wood
Cortney Casey
55
Sig strikes landed
48
104
Sig strikes attempted
113
84
Total strikes landed
76
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
215s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Joanne Wood

"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
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Blue corner

Cortney Casey

"Cast Iron"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28