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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Russell Doane vs Jerrod Sanders

The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Russell Doane
Jerrod Sanders
61% 39%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
15-9
Career record
Δ 22 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Doane: 13 sig / 1 TD · Sanders: 15 sig / 3 TD
Russell Doane
Jerrod Sanders
26
Sig strikes landed
20
43
Sig strikes attempted
33
57
Total strikes landed
39
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
236s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Russell Doane

15-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
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W UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
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W UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
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Blue corner
L1

Jerrod Sanders

"J-Reazie"
16-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
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