Women's Flyweight
Kaline Medeiros vs Sarah Payant
Bellator 140: Lima vs. Koreshkov
·Mohegan Sun Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kaline Medeiros
Sarah Payant
86%
14%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Medeiros: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Payant: 1 sig / 0 TD
Kaline Medeiros
Sarah Payant
43
Sig strikes landed
43
96
Sig strikes attempted
95
73
Total strikes landed
64
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kaline Medeiros
"The Dark Angel"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Blue corner
Sarah Payant
"Soulja"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"