Back to Bellator 140: Lima vs. Koreshkov
Bantamweight

Billy Giovanella vs Remo Cardarelli

Bellator 140: Lima vs. Koreshkov ·Mohegan Sun Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Billy Giovanella
Remo Cardarelli
71% 29%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Giovanella: 22 sig / 0 TD · Cardarelli: 34 sig / 0 TD
Billy Giovanella
Remo Cardarelli
46
Sig strikes landed
43
99
Sig strikes attempted
90
61
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
4.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Billy Giovanella

"Wolverine"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Age
30
Blue corner

Remo Cardarelli

0-0
Career record