Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Paul Daley
Dennis Olson
97%
3%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Daley: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Olson: 8 sig / 2 TD
Paul Daley
Dennis Olson
51
Sig strikes landed
38
114
Sig strikes attempted
117
65
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
-0.2
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.80
Knockdowns
0.10
57s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Paul Daley
"Semtex"
40-15-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
—
Blue corner
Dennis Olson
0-0
Career record
Height
72"