Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joe Lauzon
Takanori Gomi
44%
56%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
31
Age
Δ 6y
37
28-17
Career record
Δ 8 pp
35-15
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lauzon: 15 sig / 1 TD ·
Gomi: 7 sig / 0 TD
Joe Lauzon
Takanori Gomi
34
Sig strikes landed
39
89
Sig strikes attempted
81
47
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joe Lauzon
28-17
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
Blue corner
L1
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—