Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bobby Cooper
Pablo Villaseca
69%
31%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cooper: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Villaseca: 51 sig / 3 TD
Bobby Cooper
Pablo Villaseca
41
Sig strikes landed
46
105
Sig strikes attempted
99
54
Total strikes landed
66
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bobby Cooper
"Super Duper"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Blue corner
Pablo Villaseca
"El Gallo"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
28