Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joe Schilling
Hisaki Kato
59%
41%
Why
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Schilling: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Kato: 12 sig / 1 TD
Joe Schilling
Hisaki Kato
42
Sig strikes landed
45
83
Sig strikes attempted
91
52
Total strikes landed
64
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.60
50s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joe Schilling
2-6
Career record
Height
75"
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—
W
Bellator 131: Tito vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
Hisaki Kato
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
33