Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sam Sicilia
Yaotzin Meza
55%
45%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
16-8
Career record
Δ 0 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sicilia: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Meza: 18 sig / 1 TD
Sam Sicilia
Yaotzin Meza
23
Sig strikes landed
28
56
Sig strikes attempted
65
41
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
136s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sam Sicilia
16-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yaotzin Meza
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—