Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Jessica Andrade vs Sarah Moras
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
·Pechanga Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Sarah Moras
86%
14%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
26-16
Career record
Δ 15 pp
7-8
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 50 sig / 3 TD ·
Moras: 18 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Sarah Moras
40
Sig strikes landed
38
69
Sig strikes attempted
90
86
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
301s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
Blue corner
W1
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
7-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—