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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Rani Yahya vs Masanori Kanehara

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Masanori Kanehara
61% 39%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
27-12-5
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Yahya: 24 sig / 4 TD · Kanehara: 24 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Masanori Kanehara
23
Sig strikes landed
20
56
Sig strikes attempted
53
50
Total strikes landed
45
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
231s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Rani Yahya

29-12-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
W UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Blue corner
W1

Masanori Kanehara

27-12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson