Main
Bantamweight
Scott Jorgensen vs Manvel Gamburyan
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
·Pechanga Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Scott Jorgensen
Manvel Gamburyan
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
15-13
Career record
Δ 8 pp
16-10
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jorgensen: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Gamburyan: 42 sig / 5 TD
Scott Jorgensen
Manvel Gamburyan
34
Sig strikes landed
35
83
Sig strikes attempted
78
50
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15-13
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
W1
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
16-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—