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Piotr Hallmann vs Magomed Mustafaev

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne ·O2 World
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Piotr Hallmann
Magomed Mustafaev
60% 40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Hallmann: 29 sig / 2 TD · Mustafaev: 18 sig / 0 TD
Piotr Hallmann
Magomed Mustafaev
51
Sig strikes landed
44
111
Sig strikes attempted
98
73
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Piotr Hallmann

"Pletwal"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
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W UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
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Blue corner

Magomed Mustafaev

"The Sniper"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27