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Scott Askham vs Antonio Dos Santos

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne ·O2 World
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Scott Askham
Antonio Dos Santos
74% 26%
Why
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
14-5
Career record
Δ 19 pp
6-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Askham: 11 sig / 0 TD · Dos Santos: 11 sig / 0 TD
Scott Askham
Antonio Dos Santos
44
Sig strikes landed
39
77
Sig strikes attempted
60
56
Total strikes landed
37
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
245s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Scott Askham

14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
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Blue corner
L1

Antonio Dos Santos

"Junior Alpha"
6-5
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
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