Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Nick Hein
Lukasz Sajewski
43%
57%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
31
Age
Δ 7y
25
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hein: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Sajewski: 26 sig / 0 TD
Nick Hein
Lukasz Sajewski
34
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
83
48
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nick Hein
"Sergeant"
14-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
Blue corner
Lukasz Sajewski
"Wookie"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25