Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rony Jason
Damon Jackson
33%
67%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
14-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
23-9-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Jason: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Jackson: 5 sig / 3 TD
Rony Jason
Damon Jackson
27
Sig strikes landed
25
44
Sig strikes attempted
47
41
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
111s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rony Jason
14-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
L1
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
23-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—