Back to UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Main Welterweight

Wendell Oliveira Marques vs Darren Till

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves ·Goiania Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Wendell Oliveira Marques
Darren Till
58% 42%
Why
32
Age
Δ 10y
22
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Oliveira Marques: 22 sig / 0 TD · Till: 25 sig / 0 TD
Wendell Oliveira Marques
Darren Till
23
Sig strikes landed
35
62
Sig strikes attempted
73
35
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Wendell Oliveira Marques

"The Machine"
29-11
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
Blue corner

Darren Till

"The Gorilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22