Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Francisco Trinaldo
Norman Parke
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
37
Age
Δ 8y
28
29-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-7-1
W2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Trinaldo: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Parke: 25 sig / 4 TD
Francisco Trinaldo
Norman Parke
28
Sig strikes landed
43
90
Sig strikes attempted
112
42
Total strikes landed
63
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.0
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
29-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
Blue corner
L1
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
23-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—