Back to UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Juliana Lima vs Ericka Almeida

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves ·Goiania Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Juliana Lima
Ericka Almeida
43% 57%
Why
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lima: 41 sig / 3 TD · Almeida: 13 sig / 0 TD
Juliana Lima
Ericka Almeida
28
Sig strikes landed
34
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
71
Total strikes landed
70
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.7
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
307s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Juliana Lima

"Ju Thai"
10-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner

Ericka Almeida

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26