Main
Light Heavyweight
Francimar Barroso vs Ryan Jimmo
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
·Goiania Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Francimar Barroso
Ryan Jimmo
48%
52%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
19-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barroso: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Jimmo: 35 sig / 0 TD
Francimar Barroso
Ryan Jimmo
29
Sig strikes landed
34
59
Sig strikes attempted
65
48
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.6
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
19-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
L1
Ryan Jimmo
"The Big Deal"
19-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—