Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Reginaldo Vieira
Dileno Lopes
60%
40%
Why
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vieira: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Lopes: 46 sig / 3 TD
Reginaldo Vieira
Dileno Lopes
44
Sig strikes landed
51
97
Sig strikes attempted
103
60
Total strikes landed
69
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
118s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Reginaldo Vieira
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
Dileno Lopes
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Age
31