Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Antonio Silva
Soa Palelei
34%
66%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 1"
81"
36
Age
Δ 2y
38
19-13-1
Career record
Δ 25 pp
23-5
L2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Palelei: 19 sig / 1 TD
Antonio Silva
Soa Palelei
13
Sig strikes landed
24
28
Sig strikes attempted
37
20
Total strikes landed
47
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
-0.1
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
48s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
12%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
W1
Soa Palelei
"The Hulk"
23-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—