Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Straus
Henry Corrales
88%
12%
Why
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Straus: 55 sig / 3 TD ·
Corrales: 32 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Straus
Henry Corrales
53
Sig strikes landed
70
127
Sig strikes attempted
146
74
Total strikes landed
92
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
106s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Straus
24-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—
Blue corner
Henry Corrales
0-0
Career record
Height
69"