Featherweight
Patricio Pitbull vs Daniel Weichel
Bellator 138: Unfinished Business
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Weichel
80%
20%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
38-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
40-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pitbull: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Weichel: 23 sig / 1 TD
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Weichel
50
Sig strikes landed
61
151
Sig strikes attempted
170
58
Total strikes landed
60
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Patricio Pitbull
38-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
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Blue corner
W1
Daniel Weichel
"The Weasel"
40-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlem…
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