Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Henry Cejudo
Chico Camus
64%
36%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
17-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-7
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cejudo: 62 sig / 1 TD ·
Camus: 48 sig / 0 TD
Henry Cejudo
Chico Camus
51
Sig strikes landed
40
101
Sig strikes attempted
90
80
Total strikes landed
54
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
196s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
17-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W1
Chico Camus
"The King"
18-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
L
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—