Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Efrain Escudero
Drew Dober
54%
46%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
29
Age
Δ 3y
27
29-12
Career record
Δ 5 pp
29-15
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Escudero: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Dober: 0 sig / 0 TD
Efrain Escudero
Drew Dober
41
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
101
57
Total strikes landed
60
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
29-12
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
Blue corner
W1
Drew Dober
29-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—