🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Chris Weidman vs Vitor Belfort
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Weidman
Vitor Belfort
67%
33%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
31
Age
Δ 7y
38
17-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-14
W8
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Weidman: 46 sig / 1 TD ·
Belfort: 18 sig / 0 TD
Chris Weidman
Vitor Belfort
40
Sig strikes landed
28
81
Sig strikes attempted
69
48
Total strikes landed
35
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
17-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 8-0
Last 5
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
Blue corner
W3
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
27-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—