🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Johnson vs Daniel Cormier
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Johnson
Daniel Cormier
62%
38%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
23-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-4
W3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Johnson: 23 sig / 1 TD ·
Cormier: 23 sig / 3 TD
Anthony Johnson
Daniel Cormier
34
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
70
48
Total strikes landed
77
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
105s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
23-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
Blue corner
L1
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—