Prelims1
Welterweight
Kyle Noke vs Jonavin Webb
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kyle Noke
Jonavin Webb
54%
46%
Why
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Noke: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Webb: 23 sig / 2 TD
Kyle Noke
Jonavin Webb
31
Sig strikes landed
24
54
Sig strikes attempted
49
49
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kyle Noke
22-11-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
Blue corner
Jonavin Webb
"The Spyder"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26