Prelims1
Featherweight
Hatsu Hioki vs Dan Hooker
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Hatsu Hioki
Dan Hooker
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
29-11-2
Career record
Δ 8 pp
24-15
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hioki: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Hooker: 21 sig / 0 TD
Hatsu Hioki
Dan Hooker
37
Sig strikes landed
44
86
Sig strikes attempted
101
61
Total strikes landed
68
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
215s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hatsu Hioki
29-11-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
L
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
Blue corner
L1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—