Prelims1
Welterweight
Vik Grujic vs Brendan O'Reilly
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Vik Grujic
Brendan O'Reilly
34%
66%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
38
Age
Δ 10y
28
6-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
6-4
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Grujic: 59 sig / 1 TD ·
O'Reilly: 42 sig / 6 TD
Vik Grujic
Brendan O'Reilly
35
Sig strikes landed
30
63
Sig strikes attempted
62
64
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
189s
Control time
236s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vik Grujic
"The Spartan"
6-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L1
Brendan O'Reilly
"Badger"
6-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—